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Lindy Effect or Red Queen Effect?

The Lindy Effect says that what has lasted will probably keep lasting, so prefer proven technology. The Red Queen Effect says you have to keep changing just to keep your place. Each is right in a different part of the system.

Lindy Effect

For technologies and ideas, every year they survive increases their expected remaining life.

Reach for it when

  • Choosing foundations such as databases, languages and protocols
  • The area is not a source of competitive advantage
Read Lindy Effect

Red Queen Effect

You have to keep running just to stay in the same place.

Reach for it when

  • The capability differentiates you and competitors are moving
  • Security threats, regulation or customer expectations keep shifting
Read Red Queen Effect

Together

Stay boring in the foundations so you have the capacity to keep moving where it counts.